US agricultural exports are projected to rise in 2026, but the mix of buyers keeps shifting, the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City says in an analysis of USDA trade data through July, All Ag News reported.
Exports to China rose nearly 50% in the first half of 2026, the bank says, but that rebound follows a 78% fall in US farm exports to China between 2022 and 2025, so sales remain well below their 2022 peak. Total exports are expected to grow this year without returning to 2022 highs.
Mexico has kept expanding its purchases and is providing more growth than any other major market. Canada remains the second-largest partner, but exports there have been largely flat for four years.
For farmers, the shift means less dependence on a single buyer, but it also shows how hard it has been to replace lost Chinese demand.
Photo: Spatms / Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Source: All Ag News
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